With just seven days to the New Patriotic Party (NPP) presidential primaries, a new survey has placed former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia in a commanding position to secure the party’s flagbearer slot for the 2028 general elections.
The final predictive model released by Global Info Analytics on Friday, January 23, 2026, indicates that the “Bawumia Factor” remains the dominant force in the race, despite a spirited and often aggressive challenge from grassroots favourite Kennedy Ohene Agyapong.
The poll, conducted between December 29, 2025, and January 23, 2026, paints a clear picture of the delegate landscape across all 16 regions of the country.
According to the Executive Director of Global Info Analytics, Mussa Dankwa, the current standings are:
Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia – 57%
Kennedy Ohene Agyapong – 28%
Dr. Bryan Acheampong – 13%
Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum – 2%
Kwabena Agyepong – 0%
Methodology
The survey reached 10,133 respondents using computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI). Sampling covered 272 constituencies nationwide, ensuring representation beyond urban centres.
Global Info Analytics claims a 99.9% confidence level with a margin of error of ±1.57%. For the final predictive model—which accounts for historical delegate behaviour and undecided voters—the margin of error is set at ±3.0%.
Rising Profile of Bryan Acheampong
One of the most notable developments in the January data is the surge of Dr. Bryan Acheampong.
The Abetifi MP and former Minister for Food and Agriculture has climbed from single-digit support levels in late 2025 to 13% in the final week, a rise analysts attribute to his branding as a unifying candidate within the party.
Regional Dynamics
Dr. Bawumia’s lead is largely anchored in a near-total sweep of the five Northern regions, along with strong showings in the North East and Upper West Regions.
However, Kennedy Agyapong continues to hold a competitive edge in parts of the Central and Ashanti Regions, where his hard-hitting message resonates with delegates who feel marginalised by the party’s central leadership.
As the January 31 primaries draw closer, all eyes remain on whether these trends will hold or shift in the final stretch of campaigning.
